Ethereum

Ethereum Up or Down on November 15?

84% say Down

Down 35 points today.

Decided by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles, by November 15, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 84¢ means about an 84% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the ETH/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.16%
What has to happen
The "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 14 '26 12:00 PM ET (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.
DownThe result is “Down”.84%
What has to happen
The "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 14 '26 12:00 PM ET (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 15 '26 12:00 ET candle.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

See all fine print

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Up 16%Down 84%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 8.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 25.5¢ to 17.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)28m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (0/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top…”
“If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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