MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Ethereum

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 31?

83% say yes

Down 14 points today.

Decided by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 83¢ means about an 83% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the ETH/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules. Yes wins if: The Binance 1 minute for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

Possible results

  • YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.83%

    What has to happen

    The Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.17%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 11.8 points in about 15 minutes, from 70.2¢ to 82¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)47m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets