Soccer

Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime?

44% say yes

Up 1 point today.

Decided when a champion is named, by November 1, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 44¢ means about a 44% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.44%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 1, 2026.
NoSomeone else wins the title.56%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 1, 2026.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market settles as "Yes".

Price chart

Yes 44%No 56%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Premier League official

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Premier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Premier League official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 1, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus…”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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