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Soccer

Chelsea FC vs Manchester United FC: who will win?

68% say Manchester United FC wins

Up 2 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 8:30 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 68¢ means about a 68% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 31 at 8:30 AM ET.

Possible results

  • Chelsea FCChelsea FC wins.32%

    What has to happen

    Chelsea FC win the game by 2 or more goals.

  • Manchester United FCManchester United FC wins.68%

    What has to happen

    Manchester United FC beats Chelsea FC, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 18.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 13¢ to 31.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Premier League official3m ago

  • The price fell 9 points in about 15 minutes, from 25¢ to 16¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Premier League official38m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Premier League official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Premier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 8:30 AM ET.

Source named: Premier League official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Manchester United FC".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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