Soccer

Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

34% say yes

Up 9 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 34¢ means about a 34% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.34%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by October 31, 2026.
NoSomeone else wins the title.66%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market settles as "Yes".

Price chart

Yes 34%No 66%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 26.5¢ to 31.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Premier League official24m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Premier League official

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Premier League official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Premier League official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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