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Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

65% say Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026

Down 15 points today.

Decided by Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter", by October 26, 2026.

Polymarket lists October 28, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until October 26, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 65¢ means about a 65% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

This market asks: will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Possible results

  • Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.65%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.23%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.11%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.1%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.<1%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.<1%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.<1%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.<1%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026This result happens.<1%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

The one trap

If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 3 points in about 15 minutes, from 20¢ to 23¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com7m ago

  • The price fell 17 points in about 15 minutes, from 37.5¢ to 20.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com46m ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: tracker count onlySettled by xtracker.polymarket.com
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
Tracker Counter Window

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter" (xtracker.polymarket.com); X itself only as a secondary source. Counts posts in near real time. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the venue tracker count inside the stated window settles this; the raw count on the X profile does not. Deadline: Counting window: Mon, Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET → Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Polymarket resolves strictly on xtracker.polymarket.com (deleted posts count if live ~5 minutes.

Source named: xtracker.polymarket.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 26 12:00 PM ET to October 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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