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Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 14 to November 16, 2026?

53% say yes

Up 16 points today.

Decided by Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter", by November 16, 2026, 12:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 53¢ means about a 53% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • YesThe count or result in the question is what actually happens.53%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by November 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.47%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 45.5¢ to 52.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com3m ago

  • The price fell 6.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 53.5¢ to 47¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com33m ago

  • The price rose 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 46.5¢ to 50.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com2h ago

  • The price rose 6 points in about 15 minutes, from 35.5¢ to 41.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com3h ago

  • The price rose 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 29.5¢ to 33.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com10h ago

  • The price fell 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 33.5¢ to 28.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com10h ago

  • The price fell 17 points in about 15 minutes, from 43¢ to 26¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com11h ago

  • The price fell 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 44.5¢ to 40¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: xtracker.polymarket.com12h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: tracker count onlySettled by xtracker.polymarket.com
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Polymarket X Tracker "Post Counter" (xtracker.polymarket.com); X itself only as a secondary source. Counts posts in near real time. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the venue tracker count inside the stated window settles this; the raw count on the X profile does not. Deadline: Counting window: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET → Mon, Nov 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: xtracker.polymarket.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    11h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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