Esports

Yellow Submarine vs Natus Vincere: who will win?

>99% say Natus Vincere wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 18, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Yellow Submarine and Natus Vincere play a Dota 2 match, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 6:00 AM .

Possible results

Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine wins.<1%
What has to happen
Yellow Submarine win Game 2 against Natus Vincere.
Natus VincereNatus Vincere wins.>99%
What has to happen
Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Yellow Submarine.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2.
If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Yellow Submarine <1%Natus Vincere >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 45.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 49.5¢ to 4.3¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: dotabuff.com45m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by dotabuff.com

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on dotabuff.com official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. If postponed, it must be rescheduled to start by Nov 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it settles 50-50. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 AM ET.

Source named: dotabuff.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 19 times the usual hourly amount.
15m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com.”
“If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
“If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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