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Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig: who will win?

>99% say RB Leipzig wins

Down 8 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Rot-Weiss Essen and RB Leipzig: Team to play a match.

Possible results

  • Rot-Weiss EssenRot-Weiss Essen wins and moves on.<1%

    What has to happen

    They advance to the next round of the tournament or are crowned winners of the competition as applicable.

  • RB LeipzigRB Leipzig wins and moves on.>99%

    What has to happen

    RB Leipzig beats Rot-Weiss Essen, under the rules.

Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game or one of the games in the series is postponed, this market will remain open until all games in the series have been completed or a team is officially announced as qualifying to the next round or are crowned winners of the competition as applicable.
  • If the game or series as applicable is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game or games, the market settles as "50-50".
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 56.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 79¢ to 22.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats26m ago

  • The price rose 72.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 6.5¢ to 79¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats2h ago

  • The price rose 22.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 8¢ to 30.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
Announced

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 PM ET (venue end date. Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (50-50 on Polymarket vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to Rot-Weiss Essen if they advance to the next round of the tournament or are crowned winners of the competition as applicable. Otherwise, this market will resolve to RB Leipzig. If the game or one of the games in the series is postponed, this market will remain open until all games in the series have been completed or a team is officially announced as qualifying to the next round or are crowned winners of the competition as applicable. If the game or series as applicable is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game or games, this market will resolve to "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: Team to Advance: explained simply · MarketWeaver