Other

Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-27?

<1% say Hamburger SV

Down 31 points today.

Decided by Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer, by October 27, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 27, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt wins.>99%
What has to happen
Eintracht Frankfurt wins, under the rules.
Hamburger SVHamburger SV wins.<1%
What has to happen
Hamburger SV wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 25.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 25.5¢ to 0.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats46m ago
The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 30.5¢ to 26.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026 (scheduled start (time zone not stated). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion (this contract counts the first 90 minutes plus stoppage only), the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and cancellation handling ("No" on Polymarket vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Contract moved -0.4 points in 15m (0.4¢ → 0.1¢); last-hour volume 10.8× hourly average; contract does not name an official .gov resolution source; spread 0.1¢; depth ±5¢ $0 bid / $192 ask.
16m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 27, 2026 If Hamburger SV wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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