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Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

75% say Over wins

Up 24 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 75¢ means about a 75% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

FC Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET.

Possible results

  • OverOver wins.75%

    What has to happen

    FC Bayern München and 1.

  • UnderUnder wins.25%

    What has to happen

    The combined total is less than 5.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 43.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 42.5¢ to 86¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats17m ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 3:45 PM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on dfb.de. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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