Esports

Spirit vs G2: who will win?

>99% say Spirit wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 26, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Spirit and G2 play an esports match, scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 4:30 AM .

Possible results

SpiritSpirit wins.>99%
What has to happen
Spirit wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e.
G2G2 wins.<1%
What has to happen
G2 beats Spirit, under the rules.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match is canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Spirit >99%G2 <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 48.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 51.5¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: hltv.org16m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by hltv.org

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. If postponed, it must be rescheduled to start by Nov 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it settles 50-50. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 4:30 AM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.”
“If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "G2".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.