Esports

STATE vs SAW: who will win?

Settled: STATE

Decided by hltv.org official match results

Result posted: Thu Nov 12, 7:31 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Thu Nov 12, 7:31 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

STATE and SAW play a Counter-Strike match at the PGL Cluj-Napoca: Open Qualifier 2 , scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET.

Possible results

STATESTATE wins.Yes
What has to happen
STATE win the match against SAW.
SAWSAW wins.No
What has to happen
SAW win the match against STATE.

The one trap

If a team pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 12, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET).

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by hltv.org

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. If postponed, it must be rescheduled to start by Nov 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it settles 50-50. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 3:45 PM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 9 times the usual hourly amount.
15h ago
Trading rose to about 12 times the usual hourly amount.
15h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.”
“If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
“If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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