MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Esports

Lilmix vs Dark Moon: who will win?

>99% say Dark Moon wins

Down 50 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists October 30, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 13, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Lilmix and Dark Moon play a Counter-Strike match at the Exort Fiesta Group Stage, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM .

Possible results

  • LilmixLilmix wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Lilmix win the match against Dark Moon.

  • Dark MoonDark Moon wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Dark Moon win the match against Lilmix.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print
  • If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
  • If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET).
Price chart
-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by hltv.org
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Lilmix and Dark Moon in the Exort Fiesta Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lilmix" if Lilmix win the match against Dark Moon. This market will resolve to "Dark Moon" if Dark Moon win the match against Lilmix. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Big trades across all markets