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Esports

ex-INOX Division vs Alliance: who will win?

>99% say Alliance wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 28, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

ex-INOX Division and Alliance play a Counter-Strike match at the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #12 , scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 9:00 AM .

Possible results

  • ex-INOX Divisionex-INOX Division wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Ex-INOX Division win the match against Alliance.

  • AllianceAlliance wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Alliance win the match against ex-INOX Division.

The one trap

If a team pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print
  • If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
  • If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET).
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 32 points in about 15 minutes, from 32.5¢ to 0.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: hltv.org15m ago

  • The price fell 18.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 32.5¢ to 14.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: hltv.org2h ago

  • The price fell 17.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 38¢ to 20.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: hltv.org2h ago

  • The price fell 10.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 38.5¢ to 28.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: hltv.org3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by hltv.org
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. If postponed, it must be rescheduled to start by Nov 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it settles 50-50. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 9:00 AM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 5 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 9 times the usual hourly amount.

    3h ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    4h ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    5h ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    5h ago

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    6h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.”
  • “If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
  • “If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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