MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Esports

Imperial vs paiN: who will win?

55% say paiN wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM .

Polymarket lists October 30, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 13, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 55¢ means about a 55% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

IMP (-1.5) and paiN (+1.5) play a esports match at the Map Handicap, scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

Possible results

  • ImperialImperial wins.45%

    What has to happen

    Imperial wins 2 or more maps than paiN in this match.

  • paiNpaiN wins.55%

    What has to happen

    paiN beats Imperial, under the rules.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print
  • If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
  • If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 30, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET).
Price chart
-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by hltv.org
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading picked up (about 5 times the usual hourly amount).

    1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.”
  • “If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "paiN".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets