Esports

G2 Ares vs Lunacy Team: who will win?

94% say the G2 Ares win

Up 47 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 25, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 94¢ means about a 94% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

G2 Ares and Lunacy Team play a Counter-Strike match at the European Pro League Group D, scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM .

Possible results

G2 AresG2 Ares wins.94%
What has to happen
G2 Ares win the match against Lunacy Team.
Lunacy TeamLunacy Team wins.6%
What has to happen
Lunacy Team win the match against G2 Ares.

The one trap

If a team pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET).

Price chart

G2 Ares 94%Lunacy Team 6%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 18.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 76.5¢ to 95¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: hltv.org24m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by hltv.org

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. If postponed, it must be rescheduled to start by Nov 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it settles 50-50. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 11, 2026, 6:30 AM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.”
“If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
“If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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