Esports

FURIA vs Natus Vincere: who will win?

54% say FURIA wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 4:30 AM .

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 17, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 54¢ means about a 54% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

FURIA and Natus Vincere play a Counter-Strike match at the IEM Beijing Group A, scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET.

Possible results

FURIAFURIA wins.54%
What has to happen
FURIA win the match against Natus Vincere.
Natus VincereNatus Vincere wins.46%
What has to happen
Natus Vincere win the match against FURIA.

The one trap

If a team pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET).

Price chart

FURIA 54%Natus Vincere 46%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by hltv.org

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. If postponed, it must be rescheduled to start by Nov 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it settles 50-50. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 4:30 AM ET.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org.”
“If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar…”
“If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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