Esports

Astralis vs fnatic: who will win?

>99% say fnatic wins

Down 59 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists October 27, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 10, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Astralis and fnatic play a Counter-Strike match at the Map 2 Winner, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM .

Possible results

AstralisThe Astralis win.<1%
What has to happen
Astralis win Map 2 against fnatic.
fnaticfnatic wins.>99%
What has to happen
Fnatic win Map 2 against Astralis.

Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2.
If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Astralis <1%fnatic >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 7.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 7.5¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: hltv.org1h ago
The price fell 61 points in about 15 minutes, from 71.5¢ to 10.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: hltv.org2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by hltv.org

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on hltv.org official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (scheduled start). Check overtime/series rules, the postponement hold window (14 days on Polymarket before 50-50) and walkovers: a pre-match forfeit or walkover resolves 50-50 on Polymarket, while sportsbooks usually void the bet and refund.

Source named: hltv.org (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Astralis and fnatic in the Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win Map 2 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

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