Cricket

Will Australia win?

<1% say yes

Down 35 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by November 3, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.<1%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 3, 2026.
NoSomeone else wins the title.>99%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print

If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market settles as draw.

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 4.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 5.5¢ to 1.2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 4:00 AM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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