Cricket

Rwanda Women vs USA Women: who will win?

>99% say Rwanda Women wins

Up 56 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Rwanda Women and USA Women play a cricket match in Victoria Women T20I.

Possible results

Rwanda WomenRwanda Women wins.>99%
What has to happen
Rwanda Women beats USA Women, under the rules.
USA WomenUSA Women wins.<1%
What has to happen
USA Women beats Rwanda Women, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print

If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Rwanda Women >99%USA Women <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 4.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 95.9¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago
The price rose 15.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 82¢ to 97.9¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Nov 6, 2026, 6:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
8m ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
38m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the match is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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