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Cricket

Pakistan vs Sri Lanka: who will win?

51% say Pakistan wins

Down 16 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 51¢ means about a 51% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Pakistan and Sri Lanka play a cricket match at the England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan , scheduled for October 31.

Possible results

  • PakistanPakistan wins.51%

    What has to happen

    Pakistan beats Sri Lanka, under the rules.

  • Sri LankaSri Lanka wins.49%

    What has to happen

    Sri Lanka beats Pakistan, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 54.5¢ to 50.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats3m ago

  • The price fell 10.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 66.5¢ to 56.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats33m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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