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Cricket

New Zealand vs India: who will win?

60% say New Zealand wins

Up 17 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 60¢ means about a 60% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

New Zealand and India play a cricket match at the India Tour of New Zealand , scheduled for November 1.

Possible results

  • New ZealandNew Zealand wins.60%

    What has to happen

    New Zealand beats India, under the rules.

  • IndiaIndia wins.40%

    What has to happen

    India beats New Zealand, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 50.5¢ to 57.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats24m ago

  • The price fell 23 points in about 15 minutes, from 59.5¢ to 36.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats54m ago

  • The price rose 20 points in about 15 minutes, from 46.5¢ to 66.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 2:00 AM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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