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Cricket

New Zealand vs India: who will win?

88% say New Zealand wins

Up 46 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 30.

Polymarket lists November 6, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until October 30, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 88¢ means about an 88% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

New Zealand and India play a cricket match at the India Tour of New Zealand , scheduled for October 30.

Possible results

  • New ZealandNew Zealand wins.88%

    What has to happen

    New Zealand beats India, under the rules.

  • IndiaIndia wins.12%

    What has to happen

    India beats New Zealand, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 15.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 70.5¢ to 85.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats7m ago

  • The price rose 37.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 38¢ to 75.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats56m ago

  • The price rose 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 35.5¢ to 39.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 3:00 AM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the cricket match between New Zealand and India scheduled for October 30 2026 at 3:00 AM ET in India Tour of New Zealand T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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