Cricket

Namibia vs Ireland: who will win?

>99% say Namibia wins

Up 61 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Namibia and Ireland play a cricket match at the Ireland Tour of Namibia , scheduled for November 1.

Possible results

NamibiaNamibia wins.>99%
What has to happen
Namibia beats Ireland, under the rules.
IrelandIreland wins.<1%
What has to happen
Ireland beats Namibia, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print

If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Namibia >99%Ireland <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 95.6¢ to 98.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 2:30 AM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
17m ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
47m ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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