Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe

Named source: Official league stats · End date Nov 3, 9:30 AM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

Explain it simply

Built from this market’s own rules and prices. It is research, not a recommendation.

1.What this market is really asking

Afghanistan and Zimbabwe play a cricket match at the Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s, scheduled for October 27.

This market asks: who will win?

2.Words to know

T20: Twenty20, a short form of cricket where each team bats for 20 overs.
Share: One unit of a market. A share pays $1 if its result happens and $0 if it doesn’t.
Price in cents (¢): Prices run from 0¢ to 100¢ and work like a percent chance. 94¢ means the crowd gives it about a 94% chance.
Official source: The organization named in the rules whose report decides the result.
Settle (resolve): When a market is decided and shares pay out. Venues use “resolve” to mean the same thing.
ODI: One Day International, a cricket match between national teams that is finished in one day.
50-50: Every share pays 50¢, whichever side it is. Markets use this when the rules say a result can’t be decided.
Walkover: When a player pulls out before the match starts, so the other player moves on without playing.
Credible reporting: When major news outlets agree on a result. Polymarket often uses this before official counts are final.
Regulation time: The normal length of a game, before any overtime.
Overtime: Extra playing time added when a game is tied at the end of normal time.
Kalshi: A US exchange that lists similar markets. It is regulated by the CFTC, and its rules can differ from Polymarket’s.
ET: Eastern Time, the time zone of New York.

3.Each possible result

AfghanistanCrowd’s chance: about 97%
What it would mean: Afghanistan wins.
What has to happen: Afghanistan beats Zimbabwe, under the rules.
ZimbabweCrowd’s chance: about 3%
What it would mean: Zimbabwe wins.
What has to happen: Zimbabwe beats Afghanistan, under the rules.

4.How the payout works

Each Afghanistan share pays $1 if Afghanistan wins and $0 if not. Zimbabwe shares work the same way.

At 97¢, the crowd gives Afghanistan about a 97% chance.

In the special cases listed under the fine print, every share pays 50¢ instead.

Prices change all the time. This is a snapshot of what traders think, not a forecast from us.

5.Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

6.Fine print in plain English

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

The short version

How to read this page

Traders give Afghanistan about 97% and Zimbabwe about 3% in “Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe”.

It rose 23 points today, and there are more sell orders than buy orders waiting near the price right now.

Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

Live price & chartPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, the price history and every real price move here.

See Pro

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 10:30 AM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: Official league stats

Fine-print risk: Low (10/100)

Source
Deadline
Counts as Yes
Backup rules
Other venues

Fine-print risk Low 10

Who settles it (official source)

Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; credible reporting as a last resort

Deadline and time zone

Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 10:30 AM ET (scheduled start) America/New_York

What counts as Yes

Match / Game FinalOfficial final result of the match; forfeits and walkovers follow the special rules stated. Rule text: "This market refers to the cricket match between Afghanistan and Zimbabwe scheduled for October 27 2026 at 1…"

Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Fine print and other venues

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the cricket match between Afghanistan and Zimbabwe scheduled for October 27 2026 at 10:30 AM ET in Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.