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Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers: who will win?

>99% say the Perth Scorchers win

Down 55 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Sydney Thunder and Perth Scorchers play a match at the Big Bash League, Women.

Possible results

  • Sydney ThunderSydney Thunder wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Sydney Thunder beats Perth Scorchers, under the rules.

  • Perth ScorchersThe Perth Scorchers win.>99%

    What has to happen

    Perth Scorchers beat Sydney Thunder, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 56.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 72¢ to 16¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus30m ago

  • The price fell 21.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 49¢ to 28¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

  • The price fell 17.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 53.5¢ to 36¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 3:10 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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