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Melbourne Stars vs Perth Scorchers: who will win?

82% say the Melbourne Stars win

Up 35 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 82¢ means about an 82% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Melbourne Stars and Perth Scorchers play a match at the Big Bash League, Women.

Possible results

Melbourne StarsThe Melbourne Stars win.82%
What has to happen
Melbourne Stars beat Perth Scorchers, under the rules.
Perth ScorchersThe Perth Scorchers win.18%
What has to happen
Perth Scorchers beat Melbourne Stars, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print

If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Melbourne Stars 82%Perth Scorchers 18%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 43 points in about 15 minutes, from 31.5¢ to 74.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus16m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Mon, Nov 2, 2026, 3:10 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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