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Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades: who will win?

89% say the Melbourne Renegades win

Down 45 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 89¢ means about an 89% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Hobart Hurricanes and Melbourne Renegades play a match at the Big Bash League, Women.

Possible results

  • Hobart HurricanesThe Hobart Hurricanes win.11%

    What has to happen

    Hobart Hurricanes beat Melbourne Renegades, under the rules.

  • Melbourne RenegadesThe Melbourne Renegades win.89%

    What has to happen

    Melbourne Renegades beat Hobart Hurricanes, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 21.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 6¢ to 27.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus14m ago

  • The price fell 30.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 40.5¢ to 10.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus45m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 3:10 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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