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Brisbane Heat vs Hobart Hurricanes: who will win?

>99% say Brisbane Heat wins

Prices last updated 25 minutes ago. They normally update every minute.

Up 53 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Brisbane Heat and Hobart Hurricanes play a match at the Big Bash League, Women.

Possible results

  • Brisbane HeatBrisbane Heat wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Brisbane Heat beats Hobart Hurricanes, under the rules.

  • Hobart HurricanesThe Hobart Hurricanes win.<1%

    What has to happen

    Hobart Hurricanes beat Brisbane Heat, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 18.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 80.5¢ to 98.8¢. No official release came out at that time.

    ▲ No official news at the time · nhc.noaa.gov3h ago

  • The price fell 16.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 96.5¢ to 80.5¢. No official release came out at that time.

    ▲ No official news at the time · nhc.noaa.gov3h ago

  • The price rose 5.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 92.5¢ to 98¢. No official release came out at that time.

    ▲ No official news at the time · nhc.noaa.gov4h ago

  • The price rose 9.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 80.5¢ to 90¢. No official release came out at that time.

    ▲ No official news at the time · nhc.noaa.gov4h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsMoved without official news
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on NOAA National Hurricane Center. Price moved +18.3 points (3h ago) without a primary release on the NHC feed in the window.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:10 AM ET.

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading rose to about 11 times the usual hourly amount.

    2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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