Soccer

Kathmandu Gurkhas vs Karnali Yaks: who will win?

>99% say the Kathmandu Gurkhas win

Up 54 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Kathmandu Gurkhas and Karnali Yaks play a soccer match at the Nepal Premier League.

Possible results

Kathmandu GurkhasThe Kathmandu Gurkhas win.>99%
What has to happen
Kathmandu Gurkhas beat Karnali Yaks, under the rules.
Karnali YaksThe Karnali Yaks win.<1%
What has to happen
Karnali Yaks beat Kathmandu Gurkhas, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print

If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Kathmandu Gurkhas >99%Karnali Yaks <1%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Mon, Nov 2, 2026, 1:45 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 8 times the usual hourly amount.
39m ago
Trading rose to about 8 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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