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Soccer

Karnali Yaks vs Lumbini Lions: who will win?

>99% say the Lumbini Lions win

Down 42 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Karnali Yaks and Lumbini Lions play a soccer match at the Nepal Premier League.

Possible results

  • Karnali YaksThe Karnali Yaks win.<1%

    What has to happen

    Karnali Yaks beat Lumbini Lions, under the rules.

  • Lumbini LionsThe Lumbini Lions win.>99%

    What has to happen

    Lumbini Lions beat Karnali Yaks, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 6.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 6.9¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

  • The price fell 6.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 8.8¢ to 2.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 6:15 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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