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Arabian Aces vs Yas Lions: who will win?

>99% say the Yas Lions win

Down 50 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Arabian Aces and Yas Lions play a match at the Abu Dhabi T10 League.

Possible results

  • Arabian AcesThe Arabian Aces win.<1%

    What has to happen

    Arabian Aces beat Yas Lions, under the rules.

  • Yas LionsThe Yas Lions win.>99%

    What has to happen

    Yas Lions beat Arabian Aces, under the rules.

The one trap

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.

See all fine print
  • If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions, the market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 7.5¢ to 3¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus34m ago

  • The price fell 35 points in about 15 minutes, from 47.5¢ to 12.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

  • The price fell 24.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 57¢ to 32.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 11, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 8 times the usual hourly amount.

    4m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions, the market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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