Other

Will Young Boys win on 2026-11-12?

<1% say yes

Down 45 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 12, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 12, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Young Boys wins.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.<1%
What has to happen
Young Boys wins.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.>99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 12, 2026.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market settles as "No".

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 14.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 15¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus43m ago
The price fell 36.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 52.5¢ to 16¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
13m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Young Boys wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If a result is awarded by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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