Soccer

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-11-08?

54% say Shandong Taishan FC wins

Up 16 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 8, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 54¢ means about a 54% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 8, 2026.

Possible results

Shandong Taishan FCShandong Taishan FC wins.54%
What has to happen
Shandong Taishan FC wins, under the rules.
Chengdu Rongcheng FCChengdu Rongcheng FC wins.19%
What has to happen
Chengdu Rongcheng FC wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".

Price chart

Yes 54%No 46%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 38 points in about 15 minutes, from 37.5¢ to 75.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats21m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

Yes price: 53.5¢
15 min change (points): +2.0
Today (points): +16.0
Traded, 24h: $627.7k
Gap between best prices: 1.0¢

The details

Yes orders vs No orders: More orders on the No side (72%)Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats

Chance the crowd gives Yes

54% Yes

+16.0 points today · $627.7k traded

Yes orders vs No orders near the price

More orders on the No side (72%)

$4.3k on the Yes side / $10.9k on the No side · bid and ask 1.0¢ apart

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Price and trading: the crowd gives Yes 54% (+16.0 points today, +2.0 points in the last 15 minutes) on $627.7k traded in 24 hours. Within 5¢ of the price there is $4.3k on the Yes side and $10.9k on the No side.
Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 8, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Yes side $4Kbid and ask 1.0¢ apartMore orders on the No side (72%)No side $11K

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If Shandong Taishan FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.