CFB

Oregon State vs Texas State: who will win?

53% say Texas State wins

Prices last updated 2 hours ago. They normally update every minute.

Down 3 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7 at 10:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 53¢ means about a 53% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 7 at 10:30 PM ET.

Possible results

Oregon StateOregon State wins.47%
What has to happen
Oregon State win the game by 7 or more points.
Texas StateTexas State wins.53%
What has to happen
Texas State beats Oregon State, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Oregon State 47%Texas State 53%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 10:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas State".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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