CFB

Boise State vs Texas State: who will win?

51% say Texas State wins

Down 1 point today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 10:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 51¢ means about a 51% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 31 at 10:00 PM ET.

Possible results

Boise StateBoise State wins.49%
What has to happen
Boise State win the game by 11 or more points.
Texas StateTexas State wins.51%
What has to happen
Texas State beats Boise State, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Boise State 49%Texas State 51%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 13 times the usual hourly amount.
27m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Texas State".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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