CFB

Texas State vs Boise State: who will win?

78% say Boise State wins

Up 1 point today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 10:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 78¢ means about a 78% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Texas State and Boise State play a football game, scheduled for October 31 at 10:00 PM ET.

Possible results

Texas StateTexas State wins.22%
What has to happen
Texas State win the game.
Boise StateBoise State wins.78%
What has to happen
Boise State win the game.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Texas State 22%Boise State 78%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get the daily fine-print note.

We’ll tell you when new features open. Never shared or rented.