CFB

Arizona vs TCU: who will win?

52% say Arizona wins

Down 4 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 6 at 10:15 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 52¢ means about a 52% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 6 at 10:15 PM ET.

Possible results

ArizonaArizona wins.52%
What has to happen
Arizona win the game by 7 or more points.
TCUTCU wins.48%
What has to happen
TCU beats Arizona, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Arizona 52%TCU 48%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Nov 6, 2026, 10:15 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
14m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TCU".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.