MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

CFB

New Mexico vs San Jose State: who will win?

60% say San Jose State wins

Down 10 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 4:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 60¢ means about a 60% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 31 at 4:00 PM ET.

Possible results

  • New MexicoNew Mexico wins.40%

    What has to happen

    New Mexico win the game by 15 or more points.

  • San Jose StateSan Jose State wins.60%

    What has to happen

    San Jose State beats New Mexico, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 47¢ to 40¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)3m ago

  • The price rose 29.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 34¢ to 63¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)33m ago

  • The price fell 18.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 51.5¢ to 33¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Jose State".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get the daily fine-print note.

We’ll tell you when new features open. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.