CFB

Nevada vs Northern Illinois: who will win?

53% say Nevada wins

Up 1 point today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 53¢ means about a 53% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Possible results

NevadaNevada wins.53%
What has to happen
Nevada win the game by 6 or more points.
Northern IllinoisThe Northern Illinois win.47%
What has to happen
Northern Illinois beat Nevada, under the rules.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Nevada 53%Northern Illinois 47%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 13 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Northern Illinois".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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