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CFB

Florida International vs Missouri State: who will win?

89% say Missouri State wins

Down 39 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7 at 4:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 89¢ means about an 89% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.

Possible results

  • Florida InternationalFlorida International wins.11%

    What has to happen

    Florida International win the game by 6 or more points.

  • Missouri StateMissouri State wins.89%

    What has to happen

    Missouri State beats Florida International, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 65 points in about 15 minutes, from 76¢ to 11¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)19s ago

  • The price rose 42 points in about 15 minutes, from 42.5¢ to 84.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)40m ago

  • The price fell 14.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 44.5¢ to 30.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)1h ago

  • The price fell 17.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 51.5¢ to 34¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)2h ago

  • The price rose 15.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 36¢ to 51.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Missouri State".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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