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CFB

Michigan vs Oregon: who will win?

87% say Oregon wins

Down 9 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 87¢ means about an 87% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Michigan and Oregon play a football game.

Possible results

  • MichiganMichigan wins.13%

    What has to happen

    Michigan win the game.

  • OregonOregon wins.87%

    What has to happen

    Oregon win the game.

The one trap

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print
  • If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 5.5¢ to 12.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed52s ago

  • The price fell 7.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 14¢ to 6.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed31m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 3:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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