CFB

Fresno State vs Texas State: who will win?

78% say Texas State wins

Down 2 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 78¢ means about a 78% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Fresno State and Texas State play a football game.

Possible results

Fresno StateFresno State wins.22%
What has to happen
Fresno State win the game.
Texas StateTexas State wins.78%
What has to happen
Texas State win the game.

The one trap

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

Price chart

Fresno State 22%Texas State 78%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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