CFB

Miami (FL) vs Duke: who will win?

52% say Miami (FL) wins

Up 1 point today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 52¢ means about a 52% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Possible results

Miami (FL)Miami (FL) wins.52%
What has to happen
Miami (FL) win the game by 14 or more points.
DukeDuke wins.48%
What has to happen
Duke beats Miami (FL), under the rules.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Miami (FL) 52%Duke 48%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 4 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
16m ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
47m ago
Trading rose to about 17 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago
Trading rose to about 15 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Duke".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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