CFB

Butler vs Marist: who will win?

58% say Marist wins

Down 9 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 58¢ means about a 58% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Possible results

ButlerButler wins.42%
What has to happen
Butler win the game by 8 or more points.
MaristMarist wins.58%
What has to happen
Marist beats Butler, under the rules.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Butler 42%Marist 58%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 46.5¢ to 43.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed60m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Marist".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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