CFB

Baylor vs UCF: who will win?

Settled: Baylor

Decided by the official result, under the rules

Result posted: Fri Oct 30, 11:27 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Fri Oct 30, 11:27 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 30 at 7:30 PM ET.

Possible results

BaylorBaylor wins.Yes
What has to happen
Baylor win the game by 15 or more points.
UCFUCF wins.No
What has to happen
UCF beats Baylor, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UCF".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets