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CFB

Alabama vs LSU: who will win?

>99% say Alabama wins

Up 67 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7 at 3:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Alabama and LSU play a football game, scheduled for November 7 at 3:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • AlabamaAlabama wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Alabama win the game.

  • LSULSU wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    LSU win the game.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 49 points in about 15 minutes, from 49.5¢ to 98.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)34m ago

  • The price rose 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 49.5¢ to 54.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)2h ago

  • The price rose 24.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 31.5¢ to 55.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)3h ago

  • The price rose 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 32.5¢ to 37.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: NCAA official (implied)3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NCAA official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NCAA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 3:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NCAA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 15 times the usual hourly amount.

    4m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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