MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Soccer

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05: who will win?

61% say FC Bayern München wins

Up 7 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 7 at 9:30 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 61¢ means about a 61% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 7 at 9:30 AM ET.

Possible results

  • FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München wins.61%

    What has to happen

    FC Bayern München win the game by 2 or more goals.

  • 1. FSV Mainz 051. FSV Mainz 05 wins.39%

    What has to happen

    1. FSV Mainz 05 beats FC Bayern München, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 15.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 45¢ to 60.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Bundesliga official2m ago

  • The price fell 19.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 67¢ to 47.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Bundesliga official33m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Bundesliga official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 9:30 AM ET.

Source named: Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "1.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.