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Soccer

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-30?

48% say 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins

Up 3 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 30, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 48¢ means about a 48% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 30, 2026.

Possible results

  • 1. FSV Mainz 051. FSV Mainz 05 wins.48%

    What has to happen

    1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, under the rules.

  • SV 07 ElversbergSV 07 Elversberg wins.28%

    What has to happen

    SV 07 Elversberg wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Bundesliga official
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).

    15m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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